Local Housing Market
Not Really Yoked to Wall Street
Wall Street, Our Street: Different Kinds of Thoroughfares
Even though the housing
market looks as certain to rise as the spring shoots, behind that optimism is
the perenniel question about whether another “dip” is coming — a lot of which
has to do with Wall Street.
Remembering how 2008’s economic downturn saw the
housing market and stock market take blows pretty much simultaneously, it’s not
far-fetched to assume that the two markets always move together. And while some
folks are emboldened as stocks soar to record-level heights, for others, the
same phenomenon causes altitude sickness. What goes up must…well, you know the
rest!
Historically, the housing market and stock market are
hardly inextricably joined. Nor should that be a surprise. On the one hand, the
housing market reflects a real good (as ‘real’ as it gets!) — something that
carries intrinsic utility. That won’t change until people figure out a way to
exist without shelter.
Stocks, on the other hand, represent participation in
ownership of a venture, and a share of financial gain (or loss) from its
success. Both markets are influenced by some of the same factors (employment,
inflation, etc.), but to different degrees. It’s widely agreed that the direct
influence of one on the other waxes and wanes.
So when anyone thinks about whether a dip is coming in
the stock market, and whether that should influence their real estate thinking,
I’m pretty certain that the answers are less important than the more measurable
effects that buying or selling a home will have on their day-to-day living
experience. With positive housing market data continuing to arrive (like the
recent rise in land values — up 13% last year; the first annual gain in eight
years), it’s hard not to agree with the majority of economists that the positive
housing market trend is likely to keep going for a good while longer.
If you are considering selling your home and want to
explore the housing market in Salt Lake City and Beyond this April, give me a call. Regardless of what each market is doing at
any given time, I keep the latest up-to-date statistical and local neighborhood information available for my
clients.
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